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Rohstoffthread / CCG-Hauptthread
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2011-Oktober-06 Gold und Silber im Tageschart
Moin und während Silber die "Low-Base-Foramtion nach oben verläßt, verbleibt Gold in der sog. Tradingragen.
Morgen wird man die Arbeitmarktdaten aus Amerika beachten müssen, da sie den Markt wesentlich beeinflussen könnten.
http://wolkep.blogspot.com/
Moin und während Silber die "Low-Base-Foramtion nach oben verläßt, verbleibt Gold in der sog. Tradingragen.
Morgen wird man die Arbeitmarktdaten aus Amerika beachten müssen, da sie den Markt wesentlich beeinflussen könnten.
http://wolkep.blogspot.com/
kurz nach dem posting wieder runter[url=http://peketec.de/trading/viewtopic.php?p=1152562#1152562 schrieb:
aktie gegenüber andern werte relativ stabil gewesen.
James Turk: «Jeder sollte sich mit Gold eindecken»
Freitag, den 07. Oktober 2011 um 04:52 Uhr
http://www.finews.ch/news/finanzplatz/6789-james-turk-ljeder-sollte-sich-mit-gold-eindeckenr
Freitag, den 07. Oktober 2011 um 04:52 Uhr
http://www.finews.ch/news/finanzplatz/6789-james-turk-ljeder-sollte-sich-mit-gold-eindeckenr
Morgäähn 
1 Unze Gold in US-$ .............1 Unze Gold in Euro
1 Unze Silber in US-$ .............1 Unze Silber in Euro
1 Unze Gold in US-$ .............1 Unze Gold in Euro
1 Unze Silber in US-$ .............1 Unze Silber in Euro
Positive Wirtschaftsdaten lassen Aktien und Rohstoffe steigen
07.10.2011 | 7:37 Uhr | GoldMoney
Die "Risk on"-Trades kehrten gestern mit aller Macht zurück, nachdem Nachrichten von einer besser als erwarteten Industrieexpansion, gestiegenen Fabrik-Arbeitsstellen und steigenden Automobilverkäufen die Ängste vor einer sogenannten "double dip"-Rezession verminderten. Auch die Nachricht, dass die deutsche Kanzlerin Angela Merkel Pläne zur Rekapitalisierung der europäischen Banken unterstütze, sorgte an den Märkten für steigenden Optimismus, wenngleich Moody's Herabstufung der italienischen Banken und der Kreditwürdigkeit Italiens die Ernsthaftigkeit der europäischen Schuldenkrise unterstrich.
Der Dow-Jones stieg um 1,2% und einige Beobachter sagen bereits vorher, dass die Tiefststände vom Dienstag eine Trendwende und den Start einer neuen Aktienrallye eingeläutet haben könnten. Zumindest steht aufgrund der Ausweitung der Geldmenge durch die Federal Reserve in den vergangenen beiden Jahren genug Munition bereit, die die Aktienkurse steigen lassen könnte - und mit ihnen die Rohstoffpreise, Edelmetallpreise und letztendlich auch die Erzeuger- und Verbraucherpreise. In der Tat bemerkte Joseph Haubrich, Vizepräsident der Cleveland Fed, dass die Inflation in Amerika derzeit in "unablässigem Tempo" verlaufe - um natürlich sofort zu versichern, dass diese Inflation ein "temporäres" Phänomen sei.
Wie Jesse’s Café Americain feststellt, werden Gold und Silber derzeit von den Algorithmen der Hedgefonds-Computer als "Risiko"-Anlagen deklariert - im Gegensatz zum Sommer, als die Goldpreise noch aufgrund der Suche nach einem sicheren Hafen angekurbelt wurden. Kurzfristig wird der Goldpreis in Dollar durch die Schwäche des Euro gebeutelt. Nichtsdestotrotz wird eine ausufernde Inflation in den USA und/oder noch mehr quantitative Easing der Fed als Reaktion auf einen steigenden Dollar (der die US-Exporte schwächen würde) den Goldpreis antreiben - vielleicht sogar auf über 2000 $ innerhalb kurzer Zeit.Wenn man noch dazu betrachtet, dass die offiziellen Staatsschulden der USA derzeit bei knapp 15 Billionen $ stehen - sie sind innerhalb von nur drei Tagen um 162 Milliarden $ angewachsen - dann sieht das Bild für die langfristige Preisentwicklung der Edelmetalle so bullisch aus wie eh und je. In den USA liegt das Verhältnis der Staatsschulden zum Bruttoinlandsprodukt aktuell bei 98,9%.
© GoldMoney News Desk
www.GoldMoney.com/de
07.10.2011 | 7:37 Uhr | GoldMoney
Die "Risk on"-Trades kehrten gestern mit aller Macht zurück, nachdem Nachrichten von einer besser als erwarteten Industrieexpansion, gestiegenen Fabrik-Arbeitsstellen und steigenden Automobilverkäufen die Ängste vor einer sogenannten "double dip"-Rezession verminderten. Auch die Nachricht, dass die deutsche Kanzlerin Angela Merkel Pläne zur Rekapitalisierung der europäischen Banken unterstütze, sorgte an den Märkten für steigenden Optimismus, wenngleich Moody's Herabstufung der italienischen Banken und der Kreditwürdigkeit Italiens die Ernsthaftigkeit der europäischen Schuldenkrise unterstrich.
Der Dow-Jones stieg um 1,2% und einige Beobachter sagen bereits vorher, dass die Tiefststände vom Dienstag eine Trendwende und den Start einer neuen Aktienrallye eingeläutet haben könnten. Zumindest steht aufgrund der Ausweitung der Geldmenge durch die Federal Reserve in den vergangenen beiden Jahren genug Munition bereit, die die Aktienkurse steigen lassen könnte - und mit ihnen die Rohstoffpreise, Edelmetallpreise und letztendlich auch die Erzeuger- und Verbraucherpreise. In der Tat bemerkte Joseph Haubrich, Vizepräsident der Cleveland Fed, dass die Inflation in Amerika derzeit in "unablässigem Tempo" verlaufe - um natürlich sofort zu versichern, dass diese Inflation ein "temporäres" Phänomen sei.
Wie Jesse’s Café Americain feststellt, werden Gold und Silber derzeit von den Algorithmen der Hedgefonds-Computer als "Risiko"-Anlagen deklariert - im Gegensatz zum Sommer, als die Goldpreise noch aufgrund der Suche nach einem sicheren Hafen angekurbelt wurden. Kurzfristig wird der Goldpreis in Dollar durch die Schwäche des Euro gebeutelt. Nichtsdestotrotz wird eine ausufernde Inflation in den USA und/oder noch mehr quantitative Easing der Fed als Reaktion auf einen steigenden Dollar (der die US-Exporte schwächen würde) den Goldpreis antreiben - vielleicht sogar auf über 2000 $ innerhalb kurzer Zeit.Wenn man noch dazu betrachtet, dass die offiziellen Staatsschulden der USA derzeit bei knapp 15 Billionen $ stehen - sie sind innerhalb von nur drei Tagen um 162 Milliarden $ angewachsen - dann sieht das Bild für die langfristige Preisentwicklung der Edelmetalle so bullisch aus wie eh und je. In den USA liegt das Verhältnis der Staatsschulden zum Bruttoinlandsprodukt aktuell bei 98,9%.
© GoldMoney News Desk
www.GoldMoney.com/de
Thema: Venezuela startet in Kürze den Einzug seiner Goldreserven
Emfis News Am: 06.10.2011 18:12:40 Gelesen: 9 # 1 @
Caracas 06.10.2011 (<a href="http://www.emfis.com)/">http://www.emfis.com)</a> Der südamerikanische Staat will im November mit dem Transport des weltweit verstreuten Goldbesitzes in die Keller der eigenen Zentralbank beginnen.
Wie der leitende Direktor der venezuelanischen Nationalbank, Nelson Merentes, einer staatlichen Agentur mitteilte, seien die logistischen Vorbereitungen für die Überführung des staatlichen Goldbesitzes fast abgeschlossen. Im November sollen dann die Goldreserven des Landes, die in vielen Ländern verstreut gelagert seien, nach und nach in der Hauptstadt des Landes eintreffen und physisch im Keller der Nationalbank vorgehalten werden. Aus Sicherheitsgründen könnten über das genaue Prozedere keine Angaben gemacht werden. Das Gold liege vor allem in der Schweiz, den USA, England und Frankreich.
Präsident Chavez persönlich gab die Anweisung für diese Aktion
Der venezuelanische Präsident, Hugo Chavez, gab im August die Anweisung für diese Transaktion. Goldvorräte im Wert von aktuell über 11 Milliarden USD werden daher demnächst ihre Reise nach Caracas antreten. Ökonomen des Landes sehen in dem eher politisch motivierten Beschluß für das Land negative Auswirkungen, da beispielsweise das Vertrauen internationaler Investoren in das Land geschwächt werde.
Emfis News Am: 06.10.2011 18:12:40 Gelesen: 9 # 1 @
Caracas 06.10.2011 (<a href="http://www.emfis.com)/">http://www.emfis.com)</a> Der südamerikanische Staat will im November mit dem Transport des weltweit verstreuten Goldbesitzes in die Keller der eigenen Zentralbank beginnen.
Wie der leitende Direktor der venezuelanischen Nationalbank, Nelson Merentes, einer staatlichen Agentur mitteilte, seien die logistischen Vorbereitungen für die Überführung des staatlichen Goldbesitzes fast abgeschlossen. Im November sollen dann die Goldreserven des Landes, die in vielen Ländern verstreut gelagert seien, nach und nach in der Hauptstadt des Landes eintreffen und physisch im Keller der Nationalbank vorgehalten werden. Aus Sicherheitsgründen könnten über das genaue Prozedere keine Angaben gemacht werden. Das Gold liege vor allem in der Schweiz, den USA, England und Frankreich.
Präsident Chavez persönlich gab die Anweisung für diese Aktion
Der venezuelanische Präsident, Hugo Chavez, gab im August die Anweisung für diese Transaktion. Goldvorräte im Wert von aktuell über 11 Milliarden USD werden daher demnächst ihre Reise nach Caracas antreten. Ökonomen des Landes sehen in dem eher politisch motivierten Beschluß für das Land negative Auswirkungen, da beispielsweise das Vertrauen internationaler Investoren in das Land geschwächt werde.
Zucker: US-Lagerbestand auf 37-Jahrestief
von Jens Lüders
Freitag 07.10.2011, 09:26 Uhr
New York (BoerseGo.de) – Die Lagerbestände für Zucker sind in den USA auf ein 37-Jahrestief gefallen, nachdem Regen und Frost die Rübenernte negativ tangiert haben. Nach Analystenmeinung könnte dies die USA dazu veranlassen, Importbeschränkungen für den Süßstoff aufzuheben.
Die Farmer in Minnesota, der größten Erzeugerregion, werden nach Schätzung der US-Landwirtschaftsbehörde USDA dieses Jahr eine um 19 Prozent kleinere Ernte als im letzten Jahr einfahren. In vier der zehn größten Anbauregionen wird mit einem Produktionsrückgang gerechnet.
"Wenn man ein Bonbon- oder Popcorn-Hersteller ist, wird man jetzt Kopfschmerzen haben", kommentierte Sterling Smith, Analyst bei Land Hedging gegenüber der Nachrichtenagentur Bloomberg die Entwicklung. „Eine kleinere Rübenernte wird die Kosten von Süßstoffen erhöhen." Dadurch würden auch die Margen für Nahrungsmittelhersteller wie Kraft Foods oder Hormel Foods sinken.
von Jens Lüders
Freitag 07.10.2011, 09:26 Uhr
New York (BoerseGo.de) – Die Lagerbestände für Zucker sind in den USA auf ein 37-Jahrestief gefallen, nachdem Regen und Frost die Rübenernte negativ tangiert haben. Nach Analystenmeinung könnte dies die USA dazu veranlassen, Importbeschränkungen für den Süßstoff aufzuheben.
Die Farmer in Minnesota, der größten Erzeugerregion, werden nach Schätzung der US-Landwirtschaftsbehörde USDA dieses Jahr eine um 19 Prozent kleinere Ernte als im letzten Jahr einfahren. In vier der zehn größten Anbauregionen wird mit einem Produktionsrückgang gerechnet.
"Wenn man ein Bonbon- oder Popcorn-Hersteller ist, wird man jetzt Kopfschmerzen haben", kommentierte Sterling Smith, Analyst bei Land Hedging gegenüber der Nachrichtenagentur Bloomberg die Entwicklung. „Eine kleinere Rübenernte wird die Kosten von Süßstoffen erhöhen." Dadurch würden auch die Margen für Nahrungsmittelhersteller wie Kraft Foods oder Hormel Foods sinken.
Michael Pento - Fed’s Time Bomb & Impact on Gold Market
With stocks moving higher along with gold and silver, today Michael Pento, of Pento Portfolio Strategies, explains for King World News readers globally why the Fed has created a ticking time bomb and what the implications are for the gold market, “Bernanke’s ‘Operation Twist’ has succeeded in sending yields on longer duration maturities to record lows. But what is now being lauded as a success by the interest manipulators at the Federal Reserve will very soon prove to be this country’s Waterloo.”
“The problem is that America’s addiction to artificially-produced low interest rates is becoming permanently cemented into the economy. By definition, artificially-low interest rates cannot last forever. Once debt supply and inflation pressures overwhelm the Treasury market, as they inevitably must, yields will soar. If you doubt that fact, ask the Greeks if the ECB is capable of holding down yields forever. The interest rate on their two-year note is now above a staggering 70%.
However, by the time it comes for the US to face the reality of a free-market based cost of money, the U.S. banking system and indeed the entire government will have become completely dependent on the continuation of nearly free money to maintain solvency....
“America’s teaser rate and adjustable rate mortgage on her $15 trillion debt will most likely expire within a few short years. An insolvent banking system and an insolvent government will be the result of believing we can and should borrow more than $1 trillion above what we raise in revenue each and every year; simply because the cost of financing is so low.
The ‘solution’ to European and American insolvency is always sought from the printing press. Is it really any wonder why gold is still up $260 an ounce YTD. This is why the gold bears and those who have given up on the gold market will be extremely disappointed in the weeks and months ahead.”
>>>
http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2011/10/5_Michael_Pento_-_Feds_Time_Bomb_%26_Impact_on_Gold_Market.html
With stocks moving higher along with gold and silver, today Michael Pento, of Pento Portfolio Strategies, explains for King World News readers globally why the Fed has created a ticking time bomb and what the implications are for the gold market, “Bernanke’s ‘Operation Twist’ has succeeded in sending yields on longer duration maturities to record lows. But what is now being lauded as a success by the interest manipulators at the Federal Reserve will very soon prove to be this country’s Waterloo.”
“The problem is that America’s addiction to artificially-produced low interest rates is becoming permanently cemented into the economy. By definition, artificially-low interest rates cannot last forever. Once debt supply and inflation pressures overwhelm the Treasury market, as they inevitably must, yields will soar. If you doubt that fact, ask the Greeks if the ECB is capable of holding down yields forever. The interest rate on their two-year note is now above a staggering 70%.
However, by the time it comes for the US to face the reality of a free-market based cost of money, the U.S. banking system and indeed the entire government will have become completely dependent on the continuation of nearly free money to maintain solvency....
“America’s teaser rate and adjustable rate mortgage on her $15 trillion debt will most likely expire within a few short years. An insolvent banking system and an insolvent government will be the result of believing we can and should borrow more than $1 trillion above what we raise in revenue each and every year; simply because the cost of financing is so low.
The ‘solution’ to European and American insolvency is always sought from the printing press. Is it really any wonder why gold is still up $260 an ounce YTD. This is why the gold bears and those who have given up on the gold market will be extremely disappointed in the weeks and months ahead.”
>>>
http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2011/10/5_Michael_Pento_-_Feds_Time_Bomb_%26_Impact_on_Gold_Market.html
John Hathaway - Bank Failures Moving Gold, This is Contagion
With gold and silver rebounding along with stocks on news of the Bank of England’s 75 billion pound infusion into the markets, today King World News interviewed four decade veteran, John Hathaway, the prolific manager of the Tocqueville Gold Fund. When asked about the BoE’s infusion, how it will impact gold and what other central bank responses will be, Hathaway stated, “This is just more of the same. There wasn’t a whole lot of warning that the Bank of England was going to do this, but I think they are just trying to bail out a leaky boat. We will see the same thing here in the US.”
“Europe is going to print the euro and we are going to print the dollar. We had a bank go down today and France is making contingency plans for a couple of more banks to fail. This is contagion and this will certainly give new life to gold. I think that’s why the gold market has started to come back from this correction.
Bernake has painted himself into a corner because he says he doesn’t want to do it (print money), but if there is further weakness in the market, I mean any number of things could trigger it. Bernanke is trying to get Congress to do some work on the fiscal side, but if I were advising him I would say, ‘Don’t hold your breath.’
I feel good about it (gold), but I really don’t want to be in the business of calling turns in the gold market. What I really wanted to convey in our previous interview was in all of the years and markets I’ve observed, it felt like a low and that it was a buying opportunity. I feel the same way about the (mining) stocks today....
“Before we had this swoon in September, I wrote an article saying that these valuations in gold stocks were a gift to anybody who had missed the bull market in gold. This swoon that we’ve had in September, as long as we can believe that gold belongs at least at the $1,500 to $1,600 level, has made this an even greater gift than what we had seen before. So I feel good that the gold stocks have stabilized and that they are starting to show real signs of life.”
When asked about silver specifically, Hathaway replied, “Just based on my own gut instincts, sentiment is on the frightened side. The market vane readings (for silver) are down in the 50s (for bullish sentiment), that’s about as low as they have been in many years. So that’s very positive.”
When asked if gold was a crowded trade, Hathaway stated, “I don’t think the gold trade is crowded, I don’t think it ever has been crowded (during this bull market). It can get popular from time to time, like anything, but popular is one thing, crowded is a totally different thing. Popular means it’s on the front pages and lots of people are talking about it, but crowded is like what we saw with housing or dotcoms and we are nowhere near that and never have been frankly.”
>>> http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2011/10/6_John_Hathaway_-_Bank_Failures_Moving_Gold,_This_is_Contagion.html
With gold and silver rebounding along with stocks on news of the Bank of England’s 75 billion pound infusion into the markets, today King World News interviewed four decade veteran, John Hathaway, the prolific manager of the Tocqueville Gold Fund. When asked about the BoE’s infusion, how it will impact gold and what other central bank responses will be, Hathaway stated, “This is just more of the same. There wasn’t a whole lot of warning that the Bank of England was going to do this, but I think they are just trying to bail out a leaky boat. We will see the same thing here in the US.”
“Europe is going to print the euro and we are going to print the dollar. We had a bank go down today and France is making contingency plans for a couple of more banks to fail. This is contagion and this will certainly give new life to gold. I think that’s why the gold market has started to come back from this correction.
Bernake has painted himself into a corner because he says he doesn’t want to do it (print money), but if there is further weakness in the market, I mean any number of things could trigger it. Bernanke is trying to get Congress to do some work on the fiscal side, but if I were advising him I would say, ‘Don’t hold your breath.’
I feel good about it (gold), but I really don’t want to be in the business of calling turns in the gold market. What I really wanted to convey in our previous interview was in all of the years and markets I’ve observed, it felt like a low and that it was a buying opportunity. I feel the same way about the (mining) stocks today....
“Before we had this swoon in September, I wrote an article saying that these valuations in gold stocks were a gift to anybody who had missed the bull market in gold. This swoon that we’ve had in September, as long as we can believe that gold belongs at least at the $1,500 to $1,600 level, has made this an even greater gift than what we had seen before. So I feel good that the gold stocks have stabilized and that they are starting to show real signs of life.”
When asked about silver specifically, Hathaway replied, “Just based on my own gut instincts, sentiment is on the frightened side. The market vane readings (for silver) are down in the 50s (for bullish sentiment), that’s about as low as they have been in many years. So that’s very positive.”
When asked if gold was a crowded trade, Hathaway stated, “I don’t think the gold trade is crowded, I don’t think it ever has been crowded (during this bull market). It can get popular from time to time, like anything, but popular is one thing, crowded is a totally different thing. Popular means it’s on the front pages and lots of people are talking about it, but crowded is like what we saw with housing or dotcoms and we are nowhere near that and never have been frankly.”
>>> http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2011/10/6_John_Hathaway_-_Bank_Failures_Moving_Gold,_This_is_Contagion.html
Gold's retreat is temporary
Perhaps the most significant gold development of the
past decade has gone virtually unnoticed in the West..
http://www.stockhouse.com/Columnists/2011/Oct/7/Gold-s-retreat-is-temporary
Perhaps the most significant gold development of the
past decade has gone virtually unnoticed in the West..
http://www.stockhouse.com/Columnists/2011/Oct/7/Gold-s-retreat-is-temporary
EVG
Klare Sache!! Abstauber, da die Produktion s. News oben nicht ganz so hoch war.
Avion Gold Corp. verfehlt Produktionsplanung
07.10.2011 | 14:01 Uhr | Rohstoff-Welt.de
Avion Gold Corporation veröffentlichte heute die Produktionszahlen des dritten Quartals 2011. In den drei Monaten erreichte das Unternehmen bei den Liegenschaften Tabakoto and Segala im Mali eine Produktion von circa 21.687 oz Gold. Avion konnte damit seine Planung für das Septemberquartal von 26.100 oz nicht erreichen. Es wurden 227.900 Tonnen Erz mit einem durchschnittlichen Gehalt von 3,12 g/t Gold verarbeitet.
Im Gesamtjahr 2011 erwartet das Unternehmen nun eine Goldproduktion von 95.000 bis 100.000 oz.
© Redaktion MinenPortal.de
Avion Gold Corp. verfehlt Produktionsplanung
07.10.2011 | 14:01 Uhr | Rohstoff-Welt.de
Avion Gold Corporation veröffentlichte heute die Produktionszahlen des dritten Quartals 2011. In den drei Monaten erreichte das Unternehmen bei den Liegenschaften Tabakoto and Segala im Mali eine Produktion von circa 21.687 oz Gold. Avion konnte damit seine Planung für das Septemberquartal von 26.100 oz nicht erreichen. Es wurden 227.900 Tonnen Erz mit einem durchschnittlichen Gehalt von 3,12 g/t Gold verarbeitet.
Im Gesamtjahr 2011 erwartet das Unternehmen nun eine Goldproduktion von 95.000 bis 100.000 oz.
© Redaktion MinenPortal.de
October 07, 2011 07:00 ET
Avion Announces Q3 Gold Production of 21,700 Ounces
TORONTO, ONTARIO--(Marketwire - Oct. 7, 2011) - Avion Gold Corporation (TSX:AVR)(OTCQX:AVGCF) ("Avion" or the 'Company') is pleased to announce third quarter of 2011 production of approximately 21,687 ounces of gold from its Tabakoto/ Ségala operations in Mali, West Africa. Gold production during the period was lower by 4,413 ounces than the third quarter budget of 26,100 ounces. Contributing factors to the production shortfall included long delays in getting parts and supplies through customs at the port of Dakar, Senegal and through the Senegal/Mali border. This resulted in lower mechanical availability of the open pit mining fleet, and consequently lower grade ore was processed. Heavy rains during August also impacted production, reducing access to higher grade ore from the Dioulafoundou pit. As a result of the lower than planned production in the third quarter, Avion is providing guidance for 2011 between 95,000 ounces and 100,000 ounces of gold.
http://www.marketwire.com/press-release/avion-announces-q3-gold-production-of-21700-ounces-tsx-avr-1570342.htm
Avion Announces Q3 Gold Production of 21,700 Ounces
TORONTO, ONTARIO--(Marketwire - Oct. 7, 2011) - Avion Gold Corporation (TSX:AVR)(OTCQX:AVGCF) ("Avion" or the 'Company') is pleased to announce third quarter of 2011 production of approximately 21,687 ounces of gold from its Tabakoto/ Ségala operations in Mali, West Africa. Gold production during the period was lower by 4,413 ounces than the third quarter budget of 26,100 ounces. Contributing factors to the production shortfall included long delays in getting parts and supplies through customs at the port of Dakar, Senegal and through the Senegal/Mali border. This resulted in lower mechanical availability of the open pit mining fleet, and consequently lower grade ore was processed. Heavy rains during August also impacted production, reducing access to higher grade ore from the Dioulafoundou pit. As a result of the lower than planned production in the third quarter, Avion is providing guidance for 2011 between 95,000 ounces and 100,000 ounces of gold.
http://www.marketwire.com/press-release/avion-announces-q3-gold-production-of-21700-ounces-tsx-avr-1570342.htm
With gold still hanging around the $1,650 level, today King World News was given exclusive distribution rights to an extraordinary piece of legendary technical analyst Louise Yamada’s “Technical Perspectives” report. This information is never made available to the public and we are grateful to Louise for sharing her incredible work with KWN readers globally.
Gold – Uptrends Hold
By Louise Yamada Technical Research Advisors, LLC ("LYA")
October 7 (King World News) - One might wish for nerves of steel to have watched Gold spot price (GOLDS-1,614.40) retreat as it did in two days, from roughly 1,800 to 1,600 (1,532 intraday), for about a 20% decline (see Figure 48)!! While we anticipated the need for a rest, given the accelerated advance to 1,900, the sudden steep decline experienced was swift and unsetting (in retrospect partly due to the margin increases). The short-term 2011 uptrend intersects near 1,600 which has now been regained, and could provide a good floor for consolidation. The 50% Fibonacci retracement level noted last month still rests at 1,561, with the 2008 weekly uptrend at 1,480, near the 1,475 low of early 2011.
From a technical perspective, strong uptrends remain in place thus far for Gold. We can note that the current pullback following an extensive gain is within the framework of previous experiences: The 2006 advance of 74% resulted in a 22% decline; the 2007 advance of 59% resulted in a 34% decline and the current advance of 96% has thus far retreated 20%; so there is precedent for the relationships. Consolidation at current levels would be the most desirable outcome.
Gold Versus the U.S. Dollar
We would be negligent if we didn’t readdress the historical relationship of Gold versus the U.S. dollar.
Historically, there has been a rule of thumb that Gold and the U.S. dollar tend to carry an inverse relationship to one another. For the most part, since 1996, that relationship appears to have held, with few short-lived exceptions (see Figure 49) including that which occurred from 2005 into early 2006, and in late 2009, as the U.S. dollar and Gold both rose simultaneously for a short time. These brief events should be considered anomalies, as perhaps should the recent 2011 rise in Gold against a somewhat flat, rather than declining, dollar.
If we go back a bit further into history toward the 1970s, one can see that there are periods during which the inverse correlation has not necessarily held, as in 1988-1992 for example, and in the late 1970s into 1980 (when Gold rose against a rather flat dollar). During the short-lived 2005-2006 event, we projected that any resumption of the inverse relationship would undoubtedly resolve in favor of the strong Gold uptrend in force. We felt Gold might be taking on a bull market of its own, irrespective of the dollar (or in addition to it) and was also rising against some other major currencies (and has continued to do so), as fiat money becomes more of a concern.
Silver
One might look back to the 2008 period again and note that following a 93% advance in 2007-2008, that price took two severe drops, an initial one in early 2008 and a more extended one in the second half of 2008, for an overall decline of 58%. Thus far, the decline from the high is 47%, following the extended 170% advance from 2010 into 2011. There could be further profit-taking, notwithstanding interim rallies. Initial resistance now lies in the 33-37 range.
>>> http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2011/10/7_KWN_Special_-_Louise_Yamada__Gold,_Silver_%26_US_Dollar.html
Gold – Uptrends Hold
By Louise Yamada Technical Research Advisors, LLC ("LYA")
October 7 (King World News) - One might wish for nerves of steel to have watched Gold spot price (GOLDS-1,614.40) retreat as it did in two days, from roughly 1,800 to 1,600 (1,532 intraday), for about a 20% decline (see Figure 48)!! While we anticipated the need for a rest, given the accelerated advance to 1,900, the sudden steep decline experienced was swift and unsetting (in retrospect partly due to the margin increases). The short-term 2011 uptrend intersects near 1,600 which has now been regained, and could provide a good floor for consolidation. The 50% Fibonacci retracement level noted last month still rests at 1,561, with the 2008 weekly uptrend at 1,480, near the 1,475 low of early 2011.
From a technical perspective, strong uptrends remain in place thus far for Gold. We can note that the current pullback following an extensive gain is within the framework of previous experiences: The 2006 advance of 74% resulted in a 22% decline; the 2007 advance of 59% resulted in a 34% decline and the current advance of 96% has thus far retreated 20%; so there is precedent for the relationships. Consolidation at current levels would be the most desirable outcome.
Gold Versus the U.S. Dollar
We would be negligent if we didn’t readdress the historical relationship of Gold versus the U.S. dollar.
Historically, there has been a rule of thumb that Gold and the U.S. dollar tend to carry an inverse relationship to one another. For the most part, since 1996, that relationship appears to have held, with few short-lived exceptions (see Figure 49) including that which occurred from 2005 into early 2006, and in late 2009, as the U.S. dollar and Gold both rose simultaneously for a short time. These brief events should be considered anomalies, as perhaps should the recent 2011 rise in Gold against a somewhat flat, rather than declining, dollar.
If we go back a bit further into history toward the 1970s, one can see that there are periods during which the inverse correlation has not necessarily held, as in 1988-1992 for example, and in the late 1970s into 1980 (when Gold rose against a rather flat dollar). During the short-lived 2005-2006 event, we projected that any resumption of the inverse relationship would undoubtedly resolve in favor of the strong Gold uptrend in force. We felt Gold might be taking on a bull market of its own, irrespective of the dollar (or in addition to it) and was also rising against some other major currencies (and has continued to do so), as fiat money becomes more of a concern.
Silver
One might look back to the 2008 period again and note that following a 93% advance in 2007-2008, that price took two severe drops, an initial one in early 2008 and a more extended one in the second half of 2008, for an overall decline of 58%. Thus far, the decline from the high is 47%, following the extended 170% advance from 2010 into 2011. There could be further profit-taking, notwithstanding interim rallies. Initial resistance now lies in the 33-37 range.
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Gold bounces after U.S. jobs data rattles dollar
Fri Oct 7, 2011 12:42pm GMT
LONDON Oct 7 (Reuters) - Gold rallied after U.S. data showed the jobs market was more robust than initially thought in both September and August, allaying some concern about the health of the world's largest economy and boosting industrial metals such as platinum and palladium.
The U.S. Labor Department report showed 103,000 jobs were added to non-farm payrolls last month, above the 60,000 forecast, while the August data was revised to show a rise of 57,000 that month, from zero reported previously.
Spot gold was last up 0.1 percent on the day at $1,653.20 an ounce by 1235 GMT, almost unchanged on levels seen before the data, while platinum rose 1.0 percent on the day to $1,528.25 an ounce, from $1,516.75 before the figures, and palladium rose 0.6 percent on the day to $611.37.
Yields on two-year Treasury notes rose to their highest since August, while the dollar fell against a basket of currencies and slid against the euro .
Fri Oct 7, 2011 12:42pm GMT
LONDON Oct 7 (Reuters) - Gold rallied after U.S. data showed the jobs market was more robust than initially thought in both September and August, allaying some concern about the health of the world's largest economy and boosting industrial metals such as platinum and palladium.
The U.S. Labor Department report showed 103,000 jobs were added to non-farm payrolls last month, above the 60,000 forecast, while the August data was revised to show a rise of 57,000 that month, from zero reported previously.
Spot gold was last up 0.1 percent on the day at $1,653.20 an ounce by 1235 GMT, almost unchanged on levels seen before the data, while platinum rose 1.0 percent on the day to $1,528.25 an ounce, from $1,516.75 before the figures, and palladium rose 0.6 percent on the day to $611.37.
Yields on two-year Treasury notes rose to their highest since August, while the dollar fell against a basket of currencies and slid against the euro .
ATC schiesst sich immer mehr frei ... kurzfristig 4,50 CAD drin
[url=http://peketec.de/trading/viewtopic.php?p=1152476#1152476 schrieb:Fischlaender schrieb am 06.10.2011, 17:58 Uhr[/url]"][url=http://peketec.de/trading/viewtopic.php?p=1151773#1151773 schrieb:Fischlaender schrieb am 05.10.2011, 20:06 Uhr[/url]"]Hab gestern und heute für meine Verhältnisse schon fast unverschämt viel EAS gekauft, Schnitt 0,52 CAD.
Imho läuft da an der TSX gerade ein größerer Cross, verteilt über mehrere Tage/Wochen. In Verbindung mit dem Managementwechsel kann das ganz fix ein feiner Trade werden!
